Blood Res 2023; 58(1):
Published online March 31, 2023
https://doi.org/10.5045/br.2023.2023007
© The Korean Society of Hematology
Correspondence to : Dushad Ram, M.D.
Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, Shaqra University, Al Duwadimi Road, Shaqra, Riyadh 155526, Saudi Arabia
E-mail: dushadram@gmail.com
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Background
In patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE), the literature suggests the overuse of computerized tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) and underuse of clinical decision rules before imaging request. This study determined the potential for avoidable CTPA using the modified Wells score (mWS) and D-dimer assay in patients with suspected PE.
Methods
This hospital-based retrospective study analyzed the clinical data of 661 consecutive patients with suspected PE who underwent CTPA in the emergency department of a tertiary hospital for the use of a clinical prediction rule (mWS) and D-dimer assay. The score was calculated retrospectively from the available data in the files of patients who did not have a documented clinical prediction rule. Overuse (avoidable) CTPA was defined as D-dimer negativity and PE unlikely for this study.
Results
Of 661 patients’ data examined, clinical prediction rules were documented in 15 (2.3%). In total, 422 patients (63.8%) had required information on modified Wells criteria and D-dimer assays and were included for further analysis. PE on CTPA was present in 22 (5.21%) of PE unlikely (mWS ≤4) and 1 (0.24%) of D-dimer negative patients. Thirty patients (7.11%) met the avoidable CTPA (DD negative+PE unlikely) criteria, and it was significantly associated with dyspnea. The value of sensitivity of avoidable CTPA was 100%, whereas the positive predictive value was 90.3%.
Conclusion
Underutilization of clinical prediction rules before prescribing CTPA is common in emergency departments. Therefore, a mandatory policy should be implemented regarding the evaluation of avoidable CTPA imaging to reduce CTPA overuse.
Keywords: Computed tomography, Pulmonary embolism, Wells criteria, D-dimer, Clinical prediction rule, Saudi Arabia
Blood Res 2023; 58(1): 51-60
Published online March 31, 2023 https://doi.org/10.5045/br.2023.2023007
Copyright © The Korean Society of Hematology.
Feras Almarshad1, Ali Alaklabi2, Abdulrahman Al Raizah3, Yousof AlZahrani4, Somaya Awad Aljohani4, Rawaby Khalid AlShammari5, Al-zahraa Saleh Al-mahlawi5, Abdulaziz Abdullah Alahmary5, Mosaad Almegren6, Dushad Ram7
Department of Medicine, 1College of Medicine, Shaqra University, Shaqra, 2King Abdulaziz Medical City National Guard Health Affairs Riyadh Saudi Arabia, College of Medicine, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Science Riyadh Saudi Arabia, Department of Oncology, 3King Abdulaziz Medical City, Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs Riyadh, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs, 4King Abdulaziz Medical City, Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs Riyadh, Department of Medicine, 5Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs, 6College of Medicine, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, Riyadh, 7College of Medicine, Shaqra University, Shaqra, Saudi Arabia
Correspondence to:Dushad Ram, M.D.
Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, Shaqra University, Al Duwadimi Road, Shaqra, Riyadh 155526, Saudi Arabia
E-mail: dushadram@gmail.com
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Background
In patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE), the literature suggests the overuse of computerized tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) and underuse of clinical decision rules before imaging request. This study determined the potential for avoidable CTPA using the modified Wells score (mWS) and D-dimer assay in patients with suspected PE.
Methods
This hospital-based retrospective study analyzed the clinical data of 661 consecutive patients with suspected PE who underwent CTPA in the emergency department of a tertiary hospital for the use of a clinical prediction rule (mWS) and D-dimer assay. The score was calculated retrospectively from the available data in the files of patients who did not have a documented clinical prediction rule. Overuse (avoidable) CTPA was defined as D-dimer negativity and PE unlikely for this study.
Results
Of 661 patients’ data examined, clinical prediction rules were documented in 15 (2.3%). In total, 422 patients (63.8%) had required information on modified Wells criteria and D-dimer assays and were included for further analysis. PE on CTPA was present in 22 (5.21%) of PE unlikely (mWS ≤4) and 1 (0.24%) of D-dimer negative patients. Thirty patients (7.11%) met the avoidable CTPA (DD negative+PE unlikely) criteria, and it was significantly associated with dyspnea. The value of sensitivity of avoidable CTPA was 100%, whereas the positive predictive value was 90.3%.
Conclusion
Underutilization of clinical prediction rules before prescribing CTPA is common in emergency departments. Therefore, a mandatory policy should be implemented regarding the evaluation of avoidable CTPA imaging to reduce CTPA overuse.
Keywords: Computed tomography, Pulmonary embolism, Wells criteria, D-dimer, Clinical prediction rule, Saudi Arabia
Table 1 . Relationships of PE in CTPA and clinical variables in patients meeting selection criteria..
Variables | CTPA result | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No PE | PE present | χ2 | df | |||
Sex | Male | 102 | 9 | 0.148 | 1 | 0.701 |
Female | 282 | 29 | ||||
DM | No | 238 | 30 | 4.296 | 1 | 0.038 |
Yes | 146 | 8 | ||||
HTN | No | 228 | 23 | 0.019 | 1 | 0.890 |
Yes | 156 | 15 | ||||
HF | No | 345 | 35 | 0.197 | 1 | 0.657 |
Yes | 39 | 3 | ||||
CVD | No | 334 | 36 | 1.926 | 1 | 0.165 |
Yes | 50 | 2 | ||||
COPD | No | 363 | 36 | 0.003 | 1 | 0.958 |
Yes | 21 | 2 | ||||
Smoking | No | 375 | 38 | 0.910 | 1 | 0.340 |
Yes | 9 | 0 | ||||
OSA | No | 364 | 35 | 0.484 | 1 | 0.487 |
Yes | 20 | 3 | ||||
Cancer | No | 381 | 38 | 0.299 | 1 | 0.585 |
Yes | 3 | 0 | ||||
Postpartum | No | 378 | 37 | 0.242 | 1 | 0.623 |
Yes | 6 | 1 | ||||
Past VTE | No | 372 | 38 | 1.222 | 1 | 0.269 |
Yes | 12 | 0 | ||||
Chest pain | No | 152 | 17 | 4.095 | 2 | 0.129 |
Pleuritic | 102 | 14 | ||||
Non-pleuritic | 130 | 7 | ||||
Syncope | No | 353 | 36 | 0.379 | 1 | 0.538 |
Yes | 31 | 2 | ||||
Dyspnea | No | 187 | 18 | 0.024 | 1 | 0.876 |
Yes | 197 | 20 | ||||
Cough | No | 316 | 33 | 0.500 | 1 | 0.479 |
Yes | 68 | 5 | ||||
Hemoptysis | No | 374 | 37 | 0.000 | 1 | 0.992 |
Yes | 10 | 1 | ||||
Limb pain | No | 364 | 36 | 0.000 | 1 | 0.988 |
Yes | 20 | 2 | ||||
Limb swelling | No | 355 | 36 | 0.266 | 1 | 0.606 |
Yes | 29 | 2 | ||||
4-week immobilization | No | 366 | 36 | 0.025 | 1 | 0.873 |
Yes | 18 | 2 | ||||
Limb cast | No | 381 | 38 | 0.299 | 1 | 0.585 |
Yes | 3 | 0 | ||||
Surgery in 4 wk | No | 362 | 36 | 0.014 | 1 | 0.906 |
Yes | 22 | 2 | ||||
Pulse >100/min | No | 282 | 25 | 1.020 | 1 | 0.312 |
Yes | 102 | 13 | ||||
BP <90/60 mmHg | No | 376 | 37 | 0.050 | 1 | 0.823 |
Yes | 8 | 1 |
Table 2 . Performance characteristics of modified Wells score and estimated avoidable CTPA with actual CTPA results..
No PE (%) | PE present (%) | Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive predictive value | Negative predictive value | Positive LR | Negative LR | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Modified Wells score | PE unlikely (mWS ≤4) | 315 (74.64) | 22 (5.21) | 42.11% | 82% | 18.82% | 93.47% | 2.34 | 2.34 |
PE likely (mWS ≥4) | 69 (16.35) | 16 (3.79) | |||||||
Avoidable | D-dimer negative +PE unlikely (mWS ≤4) | 30 (7.1%) | 17 | 100% | 7.8% | 90.3% | 0% | 1.08 | 0 |
Table 3 . Relationships of avoidable/unavoidable CTPA with clinical variables..
Unavoidable | Avoidable | χ2 | df | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Smoking | No | 385 | 28 | 3.181 | 1 | 0.075 |
Yes | 7 | 2 | ||||
Cancer | No | 390 | 29 | 3.147 | 1 | 0.076 |
Yes | 2 | 1 | ||||
Dyspnea | No | 198 | 7 | 8.240 | 1 | 0.004 |
Yes | 194 | 23 |
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